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EXPOSING
THE NEXT WAVE
***The
following detailed analysis aims to investigate the situation in regards
to the acquisiton of WMD by Al-Qaeda and affiliated terrorists. The
report consists of an immense amount of diverse reports in various
media outlets. While considering the diverse perspectives and conclusions
that can be drawn from this report, please take note that WorldThreats.com
currently hold any specific point-of-view regarding the subject presented
here. Only a select number of countries are
confirmed to directly support terrorism. Russia, China, and North
Korea are the main sources of ballistic missile and nuclear technology
proliferation. As countries continue to fall to Marxism, corruption,
or radicalism, many countries continue to remain unable to secure
sensitive stockpiles, secure the loyalty of certain politicians and
businesses, and unable to adequately fight the war on terrorism. Cuba,
North Korea, Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, and Sudan are all listed as
state sponsors of terrorism. We have all heard the warnings of Condoleeza
Rice, Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney, and George Bush about how terrorists
only obstacle is time against their quest for weapons of mass destruction
not excluding nuclear weaponry. The state sponsors of terrorism are
also some of the most aggressive countries seeking such weapons. When
many of these weapons are used, especially nuclear, no traces are
left behind. No one can be blamed. No one can be punished. Apparently,
the U.S. government considers the threat of nuclear terrorism as grave
enough to spend great sums of money preparing for such an event and
even issue warnings to intelligence agencies on the threat.
[2]
There have been much speculation about
the reason why our security agencies are going to such great lengths
to guard against chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear terrorism.
One of the most recent ones today is that Bush and Tony Blair were
told personally that Al-Qaeda had obtained nuclear weapons through
contact with former KGB agents.
[3]
Or perhaps it is do to simple logical conclusion
that the prospect of terrorists obtaining "loose nukes"
or fissionable material was not a far-fetched one. Reportedly, during
the last week of October 2001, CIA director George Tenet met with
the president to discuss fresh intelligence about the nuclear threat.
It is said that Bush was startled by the discussion and immediately
proceeded to make preparation for nuclear terrorism a top priority
despite its expenses.
[4]
Despite our preparation for such an event, the
potential for an occurrence of nuclear terrorism remains inadequate.
As an example, despite the nuclear and radiation sensors being deployed
at the Canadian border, radioactive materials were detected going
into Michigan and the sources still have never been determined.
[1]
Hiding nuclear weapons can also be a small task.
Some scientists say that small portable nukes can be hidden under
large deposits of coal or lead or graphite to mask the neutron radiation
emitted from the weapon. It is also important to note that many scientists
also have said that portable nukes can be recharged via certain types
of car batteries. In understanding this threat, it is
imperative that we understand that it is virtually impossible to concrete
evidence to be found indicating possession of weapons of mass destruction.
If indeed a man like Osama Bin Laden did have such a weapon, it would
be one of their most closely guarded secrets. It is extremely likely
that the details surrounding such weapons would be covered in a shroud
of secrecy only comparable to the secrecy surrounding Bin Laden's
location, which as we know, has successfully left him removed from
the grasp of the coalition. It is equally likely that the location
and details surrounding the weapons would neither be discovered or
proven by the coalition. Such proof relies mostly on circumstance
and personal testimonies. If indeed such evidence does exist, it would
certainly only be available to the most inner circles of security
rings. Therefore, we must study the reasoning behind the acquirement
and use of such weapons from a fundamentalist viewpoint. Today it is known that terrorist organizations
including Al-Qaeda have little or no quarrel about collaboration with
other contraband of different religious affiliation. The hatred of
the enemy overpowers this overpublicized rivalry. This is clearly
seen by the alleged Saddam Hussein-Bin Laden cooperation, and the
dealings between the Russian Mafia and the central Asian terrorists.
One must also realize that the terrorist attacks are also not aimed
at the United States to the degree that they are aimed at the Arab
and Muslim worlds. The degree, timing, and formation of the terrorist
attacks depends upon the geopolitical climate and the type of message
the terrorists want to portray to the Muslim world. For example, striking
the Pentagon can be seen as symbolizing that with the "will of
Allah", the superior American military can be defeated. By attacking
the World Trade Center, it is demonstrated that by the "will
of Allah", the superior American economy and financial power
can also be defeated. Indeed, we see this even in events not involving
terrorism. The recent space shuttle Columbia disaster was taken by
many in the Middle East and southeast Asia, most outspokingly in Iraq,
to be a demonstration by Allah that our weapons and power is no match
for the power of God. The long-term strategy is the most
vital aspect to understanding the terrorist strategy. The notion that
terrorists would use their most deadly weapons the moment it is possible,
needs to be dismissed. It must come at a time when the focus is on
an issue involving a clash between Islam and the Western world. This
serves as a form of justification. Before the attacks in 1998 on our
embassies, and before the September 11 2001 attacks, Osama Bin Laden
sought out and obtained major fatwahs justifying the civilian casualties
by Islamic clerics with much respect in the third world. Often such
declarations (fatwahs) come from several sheikhs and leaders. The
casualties must be justified by a rigorous propaganda campaign. The
fatwah prior to the 1998 attacks justified the killing of black Muslims
as acceptable losses for the greater cause. Thus one can conclude
that attacks will occur in proportion to the feeling and anger on
the Muslim street. Using the deadliest weapons would have been counterproductive
to Bin Laden's cause, and would have triggered a greater American
response, greater sympathy for America, and more abandonment of Bin
Laden's cause. In "Bin Laden: The Man Who Declared
War on America" by Yossef Bodansky, he defines this strategy.
Chemical and biological terrorism are a big part of this long-term
strategy. In the book, Bodansky explains how after agreements with
Turabi of Sudan, and representatives of Saddam Hussein (and other
terrorist leaders and state sponsors), Bin Laden adopted a cooperative
strategy to provoke the United States. It is no coincidence that the
1998 crisis with Iraq was to justify vicious attacks from Al-Qaeda.
The pattern of using crisis with Iraq needs to be watched carefully.
The plan called for provoking the United States through powerful attacks
at the "heart". In the book, Bodansky even mentions New
York City and Washington DC as potential targets. The aim of the attacks
would be to provoke an America, blinded with anger, to aggressively
invade southeast Asia (Afghanistan?) and the Middle East (Iraq?).
The terrorist coalition would then, with Islamic unification at its
maximum, launch "spectacular attacks" against the United
States, Israel, and the West. It is important to note therefore that
Al-Qaeda and the Taliban saw the prospect of losing Afghanistan, and
work on a long-term strategy with 9-11 not being the "spectacular
strikes" indicated. The plan hopes that during the war, the Muslims
and Arabs would unify and form an alliance against Israel and the
United States, controlling the oil resources. The alliance would compete
and challenge American supremacy and when strong enough, invade and
destroy Israel. From this outlook, it appears as if the worst attacks
are being prepared today, around the situation involving Iraq. The war in Iraq could be the timing
Bin Laden and his friends envisioned for his "spectacular attacks."
This is not a faint threat, as one of the top operational leaders
of Al-Qaeda, Abu Mussad al-Zarqawi, is currently in Baghdad and is
suspected of complicity in the ricin plot in London and the killing
of the American diplomat in Jordan. He has great experience in the
field of chemical and biological weapons, and could very well be cooperating
with Saddam Hussein. Even more suspicious, it is known Zarqawi arrived
in Iraq only after coming safely through Iran, after fleeing Afghanistan.
[5]
The most successful terrorists acknowledge
that timing and patience are the best weapons in this war. Radical
Islamic texts from terrorist organizations are known to be filled
with Koranic texts about trusting God and demonstrating patience and
faith while preparing for victory. As we know, 911 took several years
to plan. Regarding the use of weapons of mass destruction, it is believed
that the terrorist leaders are unsure of the success of their use
and what consequences to prepare for. Will it be justifiable? Will
it cause greater victories or losses? These are questions Bin Laden
and those like him will ask. The Director of the Defense Threat
Reduction Agency, Steven Younger explained it as: "Psychologists
say terrorists like to see explosions and they like to see immediate
gratification. Another reason terrorists haven't used chemical, biological
or radiological weapons, is that they are concerned about alienating
friends." Younger says Al-Qaeda will wait to use such weapons
until they can be used in the way most fitting. "We should think
about Al-Qaeda as a front company that will take capability wherever
it can get it to further its own operational goals. And where there's
a confluence of a target that's common and interesting, everybody
benefits," said the CIA director George Tenet on October 17 2002.
[6]
There is no reason to believe the organization
has used its maximum capabilities, patience, planning, and strength
with 911. In fact, the highest ranking Soviet/Russian GRU defector,
Stanislav Lunev, wrote a letter to the president after the attack.
[7]
Titled, "Memo to Bush: A Plan to Prevent Weapons
of Mass Destruction", part of it reads: "They [Al-Qaeda] hatched their
plan over years and trained well for it. They used 'cheap' weapons
not because they did not have 'expensive' weapons of mass destruction;
all evidence indicates they have such weapons." In the letter, Lunev goes on to explain
how Bin Laden undoubtedly has the connections and resources to obtain
such weapons. He mentions President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt telling
a journalist that Bin Laden had $1 billion in assets do to the opium
trade. Lunev's analysis concludes Bin LAden has nuclear weapons, and
that the reason they were not used is do to the objective of sparking
a larger war. He wants to destroy American military and financial
power to a point where we no longer "threaten" Islamic civilization,
and thus wants an Islam-West world war. In order to unite the Muslims,
America needs to be put on the offensive. It must be justified, and
the Arab press can do that very well. 911 showed how vulnerable we
are, and even on 911, Arab press continued to be full of reports of
an Israeli-American conspiracy, a "War on Islam", and "genocide"
of Muslim residents in North America. Using weapons of mass destruction
on 911 would have ended Bin Laden's war before it began. The Quest
for Chemical and Biological Weapons Al-Qaeda is known to have, at least
at one point, a chemical weapons laboratory in Sudan, near Iraqi facilities
soon after an Iraq-Sudan alliance was formed. Around this time, Iran
formed an alliance with Sudan, where terrorists were being harbored.
Given the evidence of an Iraqi state sponsorship of terrorism including
Al-Qaeda, it is likely such a location was chosen by Bin Laden do
the close proximity to the Iraqi facilities. Yossef Bodansky and other
top experts conclude that Iraqi intelligence and workers moved into
Sudan around the time of the Gulf War, to begin setting up facilities
that would later be supplemented with round-the-clock patrol, defense
systems, radar systems, and antiaircraft capabilities. In these facilities,
were chemical weapons. Beginning in 1995, Iraqi intelligence arrived
in location in Sudan to assist in fighting the southern rebels and
upgrade the facilities. At one point, even a cache of uranium was
stored in Sudan. In 1997, a far more advanced chemical
weapons laboratory was complete in Sudan. There was technical assistance
from Iran and Iraq, and recruited experts of various origins- including
Croatian, Bulgarian, Russian, Egyptian, and others. In the new facility
were over 300 small structures, and Bulgarian experts are known to
have worked alongside the Iraqis in research and development. Also
in this same general location, Sudan began providing training for
artillery officers and pilots in chemical warfare at a special school.
This is significant because given the Bin Laden-Iraq relationship,
and Al-Qaeda's presence in the neighborhood, it is likely some sort
of collaboration in this area occurred.
[8]
According to "The High Cost of
Peace" by Yossef Bodansky, Iraqi Unit 999 had trained operatives
from Yasser Arafat's organizations and Al-Qaeda in chemical and biological
warfare. Iraq helped the militants by teaching them the use of chemical
weapons in southern Kurdistan, even conducting a couple tests there.
Unfortunately, some America experts believe Iraq has given such weapons
to Al-Qaeda by mid-2002. Bodansky explains that Iraq funds and arms
Al-Qaeda, and that there is collaboration between the two and with
Yasser Arafat's organizations. "Off the Record with Yossef Bodansky"
by Newsmax.com, records Bodansky explaining that new evidence had
been found that Saddam Hussein had even sent technicians to help observe
and prepare Bin Laden's nuclear weapons, and that Iraqi and Pakistani
scientists even helped Al-Qaeda and the Taliban weaponize biological
and chemical weapons. He also says that there was information from
Pakistan that indicated that at least one nuclear suitcase bomb was
in the United States, although it could not be confirmed. However,
the most crucial assistance was in producing effective delivery methods.
Richard Perle, the chairman of the Defense Policy Board, has indicated
that such transfers have occurred. Middle East Newsline once quoted
Pearle as saying that Iraq and Al-Qaeda were involved in joint planning.
[9]
According to World News on August 3, 2002, in an
article by Michael Evans, there is a new Whitehall dossier containing
an assessment of Saddam Hussein's capabilities. It reportedly also
contains evidence that Iraq is planning to arm Palestinian terrorists
with biological weapons for use against Israel and the United States. According to press reports, Ayman Al-Zawahiri,
Al-Qaeda's No. 2 and operational mastermind, visited an Iraqi WMD
(weapons of mass destruction) site in July of 1998 near Al-Fallujah.
Zawahiri oversaw the training of Al-Qaeda militants at the facility.
Elite Unit 999 began training militants in WMD and sabotage beginning
that fall. Iraq also agreed to send chemical weapons experts into
Afghanistan if Bin Laden agreed not to try to overthrow Saddam's regime,
and to cooperate in persecuting Kurdish tribes. After the 1998 meetings,
Saddam sent intelligence agents into Afghanistan to help oversee the
construction and functioning of an anthrax laboratory in Kandahar.
American forces reportedly found the facility in January of 2002.
Even more chillingly, there are reports that soon after 911, Saddam
ordered his top nuclear scientists to prepare his nuclear devices
(possibly only radiological bombs) for insurgent use. It is not clear
if Saddam Hussein ordered his men to help Bin Laden prepare Al-Qaeda's
weapons, or to prepare to transfer Iraqi weapons to Al-Qaeda.
[10]
Some experts have said that Iraq sold chemical
bombs and advanced explosives to Bin Laden, although it is not confirmed.
In the same deal it is said that it was agreed to that chemical and
biological weapons would be produced in Al-Qaeda and Taliban facilities
in Afghanistan with some help of Iraqi specialists.
[11]
The ability to use such weapons cannot also be
dismissed. Bin Laden and Mullah Omar, head of the Taliban, recruited
experts from all over Asia and eastern Europe, and assembled advanced
training camps with the knowledge inherited from training in Sudan,
Iraq, and Pakistan. Bin Laden's 055 brigade was reorganized during
the war in Afghanistan in 2001, and put under the authority of Midhat
al-Mursi, also known as Abu Khabab, an Egyptian expert on biological
weapons, primarily the use and production of sarin gas.
[12]
Unfortunately, Khabab is not the only missing Al-Qaeda
lieutenant whom ran research and development efforts of WMD. In fact,
it is probable that many other chiefs of such efforts aren't even
identified yet. Midhat Mursi, Abu Basir al-Yemeni, Abd Al-Aziz, Ayman
Al-Zawahiri, Bilal bin Marwan, Saqar Al-Jadawki, and Mohammed Omar
Abdel-Rahman are all still missing. The threat of Iraq giving weapons
to terrorists is not limited to Al-Qaeda. It also includes the Aum
Shinrikyo cult, according to a high-ranking Iraqi defector involved
in Saddam's weapons programs and medical industry. The defector provided
a wealth of information and said that high-ranking members of the
Iraqi weapons programs were working with the Aum Shinrikyo, and discussed
a future operation involving the use of chemical and biological weapons
against major Western cities.
[13]
Recently, the CIA also confirmed that Al-Qaeda
connected terrorists had gotten VX, probably from Iraq, and had snuck
it into Turkey. Starting with the cooperation with
Sudan, Bin Laden focused on the procurement of chemical weapons and
nuclear weapons. His merchants scoured the former Soviet Union and
Africa for weapons components and enriched uranium. Of course, many
tricks occurred stealing Bin Laden's money. Although this is confirmed
to happen at least a couple time, it is no reason to believe all deals
ended up this way. As Bin Laden's efforts failed in the early-to-mid
1990s to build his own nuclear weapon, he focused primarily on chemical
weapons. During the mid-1990s, Bin Laden managed to establish friendships
with Sudanese officials. This allowed him to test nerve agents in
Sudan that could be used via aerial bombs or artillery shells. Cooperation
in Sudan have Al-Qaeda a safe breeding ground, training areas, access
to the African illicit arms market, and a great live-fire training
ground as the country was in the middle of a brutal civil war.
[14]
Of course, this did not mean the end to the programs
for biological and chemical weapons in Afghanistan. The New York Times has reported that
two Afghan sites have been found suspected of being part of a program
to produce chemical weapons. At one site, a research laboratory at
Deruenta near Jalalabad, Al-Qaeda may have produced cyanide gas. The
second site is a "fertilizer plant" at Mazar-e-Sharif, that
also is suspected of producing small amounts of cyanide. A US Department
of Defense official has been quoted saying Bin Laden had primitive
production capability in biological and chemical weapons, and that
he may have experimented with chlorine and phosgene also.
[15]
With evidence mounting that the attacks using the
anthrax-laced mail came from foreign terrorists, not domestic sources,
it cannot be ruled out that some of the hijackers were involved in
the plot. There is much evidence to argue this point, and argue the
anthrax was of Iraqi origin, but I will not do so here. If such is
the case, New York Times may have been correct in an article it published
saying that foreign intelligence sources claimed that Iraqi intelligence
officers had given Mohammed Atta some vials of anthrax while in the
Czech Republic.
[16]
The ability for the enemy to produce
simple biological and chemical weapons cannot be underestimated. According
to defense officials, Al-Qaeda "probably" has some weapons
of these kinds and potentially, nuclear weapons. One defense official
has said that it is believed that Al-Qaeda had crude chemical weapons
and possibly biological weapons. He expressed the belief they had
simple ones such as phosgene and chlorine, and that there was interest
in anthrax.
[17]
However, it is more likely that Bin
Laden and other organizations rely upon acquiring such weapons abroad
illegally or from state sponsors, rather than production at home.
One indication of this is that an Islamic militant in Egypt named
Ahmad Ibrahim al-Najjar at a trial of over 100 members of Egyptian
Islamic Jihad, said that Bin Laden's organization had obtained biological
weapons including E.coli and Ebola in eastern Europe, and anthrax
from the Moro Liberation Front in southeast Asia.
[18]
Al-Qaeda's possession of cyanide is
certain. Several purchases of the substance has been made in recent
years.
[19]
What would it be used for? Many things. For example,
Italian authorities foiled a plot by nine Moroccans to poison the
water supply of the US embassy in Rome.
[20]
Al-Qaeda operatives in England were arrested discussing
a plot involving a "poisonous invisible gas", probably cyanide.
Terrorists operating in Germany, Britain, and Italy were arrested
in a plan to use tomatoes to transport a "liquid that suffocates
people". The apparent leader of the plan, a Libyan, was arrested
and led the foiling of the attack. The target was believed to be an
American government building in either Rome or London or both. The
terrorists sought to use ten liters of cyanide to spill into the ventilation
ducts.
[21]
Convicted terrorist, Ahmed Ressam said during his
trial that when he was in Al-Qaeda camps, the militants were taught
how to pump gases including cyanide into an office building's ventilation
system.
[22]
The supplies of cyanide can come from many sources.
On August 22, 2002, it was reported
that Argentinian police were searching for 20 tons of cyanide that
was stolen from a truck near Buenos Aires. The vehicle was later found,
but the container handling the cyanide was now handling other items
in the truck. This occurred around the same time as the seizure of
the Mexican truck with tons of cyanide. Although that truck and most
of the cyanide was eventually recovered, a large portion of the substance
was still missing- more than enough for one or more large terrorist
attacks. Significant preparation has been made by our enemy for warfare
involving the use of biochemicals. According to a Newsweek
article called "Bin Laden's Nuclear Ambitions- And Fears"
by Mark Hosenball, Michael Isikoff, and Daniel Klaidman, German intelligence
officials learned that right before 911, Bin Laden ordered 200 gas
masks and another 200 special protective suits to protection against
radiation, or harmful chemicals and germs. The suits did arrive about
a week before 911 near Milava, Afghanistan. It is possible the suits
were bought out of fear of an American biochemical attack, or in preparation
to conduct such attacks. However, some American officials have told
reporters to take the story about the purchase with "a grain
of salt." But what about the potential for nuclear
terrorism? No one on the news has said the terrorists have obtained
nuclear weapons. It has not been widely denied either. What should
we expect? It is known that there was an extremely aggressive and
secretive joint Taliban-Al-Qaeda operation to obtain nuclear technology,
equipment, and materials at least 18 months before 911. What was the
outcome?
[23]
Chairman of the House Subcommittee on National
Security, Christopher Shays (R-Conn), has repeatedly warned of our
vulnerability to nuclear terrorism, warning that it was possible up
to 60 briefcase-sized nukes were stolen from the former Soviet Union.
"We've known for years that the
host countries have developed nuclear and biological agents and that
they haven't been reluctant to share them with terrorists...And frankly,
the race we have right now is to make sure the terrorists don't get
a nuclear device," said Shays on WABC Radio's show with Sean
Hannity. Shays said nuclear weapons would most likely serve as a deterrent
and as a form of geopolitical blackmail, and may not be used immediately.
Shays also confirmed that an advisor to Russian president Putin confirmed
that 60 tactical nuclear weapons of suitcase-size (1-3 kilotonnage)
were unaccounted for. American officials have said that they believe
some were sold to the highest bidder. "We have every reason to
believe the terrorists have access to chemical and biological agents,",
concluded Shays.
[24]
National Security expert, Curt Weldon (R-PA), has
also testified a conversation he had with a former top aide to Boris
Yeltsin (former president of Russia) who said scores (up to 80) tactical
suitcase-sized nukes were missing from Russia. The aide said that
the generals and admirals were selling off the technology because
they felt betrayed by the motherland. The missing nukes had power
ranging from one to ten kilotons.
[25]
Regarding the uncertainty of where
these nuclear weapons went, it may be important to quote Scott Parish,
senior researcher associate with the Center for Nonproliferation Studies
at the Monterey Institute of International Studies. He said: "There
were reports in the London Times last year that Bin Laden had purchased
two nuclear weapons from Kazakhstan and Ukraine. These are similar
to reports that have circulated for years...mainly about Iran...having
purchased weapons from central Asia."
[26]
One of the first newspapers to report the issue
of Bin Laden's nukes was the London Times in the beginning of October,
1998, saying he had nukes from the Ukraine and central Asia.
[27]
The main issue at here is the security
of the facilities of the former Soviet Union. In assessing the threat
from weapons of mass destruction as posed by terrorists, we must study
this ever dangerous threat. The Status
of Security At Critical Former Soviet Facilities The problem with assessing nuclear
security is the lack of evidence that can be obtained indicating theft
by terrorists. In nearly all cases of study on the security of the
former Soviet Union, no accurate account of the precise locations,
contents, quality, and numbers of materials and weapons is present.
Weapons in such facilities can be stolen with indication of their
absence. Weapons are also often shifted from one location to the next
without record. Generally, Western study of the security at former
Soviet facilities has revealed a major concern (despite the claims
of Russian officials) even if no hard evidence exists of theft. With
Russian authorities alone, stopping approximately 600 nuclear smuggling
incidents and deals in the past three years, there is no reason to
think a group of people lack the means nor the motive to attempt such
seizures.
[28]
In 1994, Jim Ford, a former Department
of Energy intelligence official and expert in nuclear smuggling, expressed
the deep concern over the activity at Russian facilities. "There
were a number of incidents where Russian technicians or bureaucrats
smuggled out materials and sold them in places like Munich or Prague."
Rensselaer Lee, a government consultant to the Department of Energy
and another expert in the black market proclaims, "I think behind
the visible market of nuclear smugglers, you have a shadow market
that's well-organised and involves nation-states...In terms of a nuclear
buyer, we live in a post-proliferation environment. The proliferation
of these nuclear weapons is a reality. Trying to stop fissile experts
from Russia from selling their knowledge or materials is like trying
to stop cocaine coming in from Colombia. We only catch about 25% of
Colombia's product."
[29]
Viktor Vevastov, the chief of nuclear accounting
and head of Russia's Ministry of Atomic Energy, said in 1998 that
a theft occurred in Chelyabinsk Oblast and that "quite sufficient"
material was stolen for an atomic bomb. Security at the former Soviet Union
must be a top priority as it is believed by some accounts, that Russia
has around 1,000 metric tons of excess highly-enriched uranium; 160
metric tons of weapons-usable plutonium; and 30-40,000 tons of chemical
and biological agents. Even strategic missiles can have questionable
security. For example, US intelligence agencies saw a Russian train
loaded with SS-27s left wide open and unguarded for a brief period
of time.
[30]
Up to 100 countries hold radioactive
materials in facilities that cannot be safeguarded to the appropriate
standards. Even the United States has not been ruled out as a target
of theft. Afterall, no one can deny that some of our most sensitive
secrets have been stolen in recent years. Security should be kept
in good shape in the homeland, as some sources have indicated that
at least five Al-Qaeda cells inside our homeland are looking for radioactive
materials.
[31]
New figures from the International Atomic Energy
Agency shows that attempts to smuggle radioactive materials have doubled
since 1997. Despite Western funding, a recent US General Accounting
Office report showed that after seven years of assistance, only 15%
of Russia's 603 tons of weapons-grade materials could be considered
fully secured. Authorities in Norway were the first to point out the
security concerns over the state of some 120,000 spent fuel assemblies
from Russian vessels that may have decayed long enough for the enriched
uranium and plutonium to have been extracted. Afghanistan's borders with the former
Soviet republics and close proximity to Russia, Ukraine, and other
republics make it a natural destination point for these materials.
In 1998, an Afghan refugee from the area of Mazar-e-Sharif claimed
that his entire family had fallen sick when a smuggler buried a large
amount of what they believed to be uranium, in their yard. In 1994, German police at Frankfurt
Airport captured a Colombian that came back from Moscow with plutonium
in his suitcase. In September 1998, police arrested eight people in
Turkey carrying ten pounds of uranium-235. In 1999, two people were
arrested trying to sell plutonium in a remote Kyrgyzstan border town.
In July 2001, four pounds of highly-enriched uranium in glass containers
was seized at a hotel at a Black Sea Port in Georgia.
[32]
As you can see, the market around Afghanistan's
borders is the hot-spot. Is this a coincidence? The low pay of Russian guards makes
them extremely vulnerable to corruption. According to a January of 2001 task force report compiled by
Howard Baker Jr., a former US senator and Lloyd Cutlar, there have
been dozens of incidents involved attempted theft of weapons-grade
materials. In 1998, their own employees at a nuclear facility were
caught trying to steal fissionable material in quantities just short
of what is required for a nuclear bomb. In the same year, a Russian
lab employee was caught while negotiating a deal to sell nuclear weapons
designs to agents of the Taliban and Iraq for $3 million. In January
2000, four Russian sailors were caught with a supply of radioactive
materials taken from a submarine. Thomas Neff of the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology says that while in Russia, en engineer offered
him 700 neutron guns that can be used to detonate nuclear bombs. He
said that is just the tip of the iceberg- he said that he and his
associates have been approached many times for similar deals.
[33]
According to an official survey, 21% of Russian
employees at missile facilities said they would work for the military-industrial
complex of another nation. 40-55% felt their salary was two-three
times less than what they felt they should be paid; 28% said they
were forced to take extra jobs do to their salary; and 25% said they
would like to live abroad. The survey in Russian nuclear cities said
that 62% earned less than $50 a month; 58% are forced to take extra
jobs; and 14% want to work somewhere else not excluding another country.
[34]
However, Russia is not the only country
where such a problem exists. According to the IAEA, massive amounts
of uncontrolled radioactive sources can be found in the former Soviet
republics of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and
Kyrgyzstan. Unfortunately, these are some of Al-Qaeda's favorite markets
for arms dealings. In fact, according to a former Russian intelligence
official, Russian security stopped an attempt in 1998 to sell a shipment
of weapons-grade uranium to a Pakistani company owned by Osama Bin
Laden.
[35]
The IAEA has also reported over 1,500 incidents
of American companies losing track of radioactive materials since
1996, where usually over half is never recovered. In Europe alone,
an average of 70 radioactive sources are lost each year. There were
136 confirmed cases from 1993 to 1995 of actual smuggling of radioactive
materials including uranium and plutonium. The number of cases of
trafficking of nuclear materials rose to 175 in 2002, since 1993,
excluding 201 incidents of other radioactive material trafficking.
At least eighteen involved highly enriched uranium or plutonium. Of
course, the most extreme incidents did not stop in the mid-1990s. On July 20, 2001, in Georgia near the
Turkish border, police arrested four people including a former Soviet
army captain with nearly four pounds of enriched uranium-235. Twice
in 2001, Uzbek police reported abnormal radiation levels in trucks
coming in from Kazakhstan. Uzbek law enforcement authorities accused
the Kazakh police of turning a blind eye and allowing such transportation
to take place. At posts along the borders of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan
in 2002, over the course of just one year, enough radioactive materials
were seized to produce a radiological "dirty" bomb. Over
the past decade, at least 88 pounds or 40 kg of weapons-usable plutonium
and uranium was stolen from facilities in the former Soviet Union
says the Stranford University's Institute for International Studies.
While most was captured, at least 4.4 pounds is still missing from
a Georgian reactor with highly-enriched uranium.
[36]
In the early 1990s, a Slovakian criminal
was arrested in Germany with the last name Illich. During the interrogation,
he said that his work in arms smuggling was only plausible do to high-level
corruption in the Russian military and the military's links to the
Russian Mafia. He claimed that he could get fissionable material for
the right price. Proving this claim, police seized from him four samples
of weapons-grade uranium, one of which was over 87.7.% enriched. Six
months later, uranium identical to his samples were seized from a
smuggler in Prague. He spoke of the ease of obtaining uranium and
plutonium, and various weapons, even including helicopters. Illich
noted that Kazakhstan had one of the most lively black markets. This
country has a high Moslem population, and is known to have been a
popular market place for Afghan drug dealers and arms smugglers. Additionally, Illich testifies that former KGB
personnel were running the crime rings of the Russian Mafia. The situation
in Kazakhstan could end up costing tens of thousands of lives. In
1998, it was reported citing Israeli military intelligence, that associates
of Bin Laden had given $2 million to a corrupt source in Kazakhstan
to get him a "nuclear suitcase bomb" over the period of
two years. Israel was said to be trying to work with the Kazakhs to
stop the deal before Bin Laden succeeded.
[37]
Yuri Smirnov is another smuggler arrested
by Germany in the early 1990s, this time with 1.5 kilograms of enriched
uranium. He spoke of the material for such markets in Russia and the
easy access he had. Yaclav Havlick was also arrested by Germany for
smuggling enriched uranium. He provided even more elaborate details
of the market, explaining how one person could even buy tanks, artillery,
and helicopters. In November 1995, a Chechen terrorist leader threatened
to turn Moscow into a radioactive wasteland, and had his operatives
point a Russian news group into a park where a "dirty bomb"
was hidden, constructed with explosives wired to small amounts of
cesium-137.
[38]
All these cases involve smugglers that probably
did not have anywhere near the financial resources and contacts that
terrorist organizations, especially Al-Qaeda, possess. Two Afghan
nuclear scientists who have been detained, have claimed they had radioactive
materials near hospitals in Kabul in secret caches in amounts large
enough for dozens of dirty bombs.
[39]
Let me sift through various cases so you get a
better understanding of the depth of this market. Twice in 2001, Georgian police seized
small amounts of enriched uranium and weapons-usable plutonium. In
1993, Russian police found three kilograms of enriched uranium in
St. Petersburg. In 1994, 360 grams of plutonium was seized in Germany.
The Russian nuclear security chief in November 2001 said that suspected
terrorists had twice tried to penetrate a secret nuclear weapons facility
that year, and that there were known attempts by the Taliban to try
to recruit employees at nuclear technology facilities. On December 14, 1991, police in the
Czech Republic arrested a nuclear physicist and two citizens of the
former Soviet Union for smuggling and arms trafficking. One of the
smugglers had 2.75 kilograms of 87.9% enriched u-235. From 1991 to
1994, Russian police alone reported 11 attempted thefts of uranium,
900 attempts of illegal entry into nuclear facilities, and nearly
700 incidents where employees tried to take nuclear weapons-related
documents. Russian law enforcement has reported that the yearly average
of cases of nuclear smuggling had risen to above 100. In 1995, Russia's Northern Fleet reported
missing uranium. In 1996, Russia's nuclear regulatory body reported
losing a fuel assembly containing enriched uranium. In 1997, Russia
reported 9 incidents of inaccurate data concerning the amount of fuel
rods and spent nuclear materials at two floating naval bases. The
threat of stolen nuclear "suitcases" hit the public in the
mid-1990s. In March 1996, US Customs agents in Miami launched a two-year
undercover investigation into high-level official corruption in Russia,
Bulgaria, and Lithuania. It became the first scenario to cause the
worry that we see today. An ethnic Russian living in Lithuania
whom did business with the mafia, offered to the undercover officers
to ship luxury vehicles that were stolen in Florida to the former
Soviet Union. The cop was posing as a member of a Colombian drug cartel.
The Lithuanian, Alexandr Pogrebevski, offered to sell Soviet-era weapons.
He then brought in his assistant, Alexandr Darichev, who claimed to
have contacts in Russia whom could get them the weapons. Darichev was a veteran of the Lithuanian
military and also an ethnic Russian, he explained. He gave the officers
a package of brochures from a Bulgarian complex called Arminex, which
was licensed to build Soviet weapons, everything from antiaircraft
missiles to automatic rifles. If the missile deal went through, the
Lithuanians asked the undercover cop if he'd be interested in purchasing
tactical nuclear weapons for a high price. The cops promised to buy
40 Stinger-like antiaircraft missiles and promised that once they
received the missile, they would negotiate the purchase of the nukes.
The criminals managed to somehow obtain an authentic end-user certificate
from the Lithuanian Minister of Defense saying the missiles were for
the army. Darichev called Valerii Donitzovich at the scientific institute
in St. Petersburg. Little is known about this institution and its
contents. Donitzovich has contacts with the corrupt Russian defense
minister, Pavel Grachev. The facility was part of the Russian Academy
of Natural Sciences, Section of Geopolitics and Security, which is
known for its links to former Soviet military and former KGB officials.
The criminals were arrested just as the missiles were about to be
shipped.
[40]
Lithuanians offering nuclear weapons
should be looked upon with the utmost concern. A former US Army Special
Forces personnel once wrote an article about suitcase nuclear weapons
from the Soviet Union being moved into Lithuania by smugglers. Some,
or all of the nukes, then went to North Korea. The cache of "suitcase"
nukes consisted of approximately seven or eight nukes according to
someone whom read the article. The article appeared in Soldier of
Fortune sometime during the early 1990s between 1993 and 1995. Scientists at the European Trans-Uranium
Institute have expressed grave worries over the potential of nuclear
terrorism. New warnings came from them after three Al-Qaeda members
were arrested with enough uranium-235 for a nuclear weapon. According
to France's Atomic Energy Commission, French and British intelligence
determined it came from the former Soviet Union under the Ukrainian
Mafia boss, Semyon Mogilevich. It apparently went from the Ukraine
to Poland, to Germany, and then to France. Among the items seized,
were documents written in Russian confirmed that the materials were
highly enriched at 85%. The amount was about 5 grams.
[41]
Mogilevich's criminal rings must be carefully watched
as apparently credible publications have reported that he and his
associates have sold 12-15 kilos of uranium-235 to Osama Bin Laden
prior to 911 from the former Soviet Union. Bin Laden is said to have
spent between $40-75 million on the deal. If true, that means the
organization has enough fissionable material for three to five nuclear
weapons. Given their alliance with Iraq, it is not impossible that
the material would be resold or given to Saddam Hussein, as he is
only missing the fissile core for his nuclear weapons. Once Saddam
has the fissile cores, he will have a small, but dangerous nuclear
arsenal.
[42]
Semyon Mogilevich and his crime rings
in the former Soviet Union certainly have the capability to deliver
fissile materials to Saddam Hussein or Osama Bin Laden. He is known
to have wide access to Soviet weapons inventories. It may be relevant
to note how the head of Ukraine's Communist Party claimed that about
200 nuclear warheads were unaccounted for.
[43]
FBI and Israeli intelligence has acknowledged that
Mogilevich has been involved in the trafficking of nuclear materials,
diamonds, drugs, prostitutes, stolen artwork, and arms in the past.
He is in control of virtually all the things that go through Moscow's
Sheremetyev International Airport, and he even purchased a bankrupt
airline in central Asia to conduct drug trafficking with the Taliban.
Through a series of legal purchases, Mogilevich maintains control
of nearly the entire Hungarian arms industry. In one deal, he sold
$20 million worth of East German weapons including surface-to-air
missiles and 12 armored personnel carriers to Iran. An anonymous US
Customs official said that he operates with the assistance of high-level
Russian officials and police authorities. He has sold small amounts
of fissionable and radioactive materials in the past.
[44]
More significantly, shortly after 911,
Spanish investigators launched an intense search for Semyon Mogilevich
do to his well-known business and close relations with the Taliban
and Al-Qaeda. The terrorists' search for weapons of mass destruction
could quickly and secretly become successful through their already
established business relationship with Mogilevich. In the past, he
has attempted to smuggle uranium into France from Russia, and there
has been testimony that the has access to nuclear materials and nuclear
components.
[45]
Even worse, Russian security services have confirmed
that Mogilevich sold radioactive materials to Bin Laden prior to September
11, 2001.
[46]
Additionally, the Italian anti-organized crime
office has learned, according to a French expert, that Mogilevich
sold the parts for a radiological "dirty bomb", and seven
American-made enriched uranium fuel rods through his crime syndicates.
[47]
The Washington Times has reported in
the times closely following September the 11th, 2001, that the Russian
Mafia had sold components for chemical and biological, and even nuclear,
weapons to Bin Laden and the Taliban. There is also extensive drug
trafficking cooperation between the partners. An American official
was quoted at this time as speaking of a secret nuclear weapons laboratory
in Afghanistan and that the State Department had concluded that Al-Qaeda
was probably trying to develop anthrax and sarin gas.
[48]
In August 2002, the Stanford International Studies
Institute released a research report documenting approximately 700
cases of attempted or successful smuggling of radioactive materials
worldwide. No doubt, the majority of these incidents had the involvement
of the Russian Mafia. Apparently, the power of the Russian
Mafia and their associates (linked to Afghan drug trafficking) boasts
nearly unlimited resources and innumerable contacts. US defense sources
have said that Al-Qaeda does have the potential to obtain nuclear
weapons and weapons-grade uranium in Russia via the organized crime
networks. An unidentified senior defense official has confirm that
Al-Qaeda made several inquiries about weapons of mass destruction
on the black market. Several recent intelligence report have described
their efforts to buy nuclear devices and materials in central Asia
and Russia. Since 1992, at least a dozen thefts of weapons-grade uranium
and plutonium have been reported in Russia alone.
[49]
The with this is that when a theft is successful
in the former Soviet Union, you probably will not even know it. Unfortunately,
but hopefully coincidentally, the sharpest rise in incidents involving
attempted or successful nuclear weapons-related smuggling occurred
from the summer of 1996 to the end of 1998.
[50]
Many bio-terrorism experts in the West
are concerned over the potential for rogue states like Iraq or Iran
to obtain smallpox do to clandestine cooperation with China, North
Korea, and Russia and the recruitment of Russian scientists. In the
1980s, the Soviet Union modified warheads that could deliver smallpox
for use in ballistic missiles, tactical missiles, artillery shells
and aerosol devices. Aerosol-released biological weapons were often
in the possession of Spetsnaz operatives (Soviet special forces) whom
are now believed to be involved with terrorists, especially those
associates with Bin Laden. Report also indicate that the Soviet Union
produced smallpox at a top-secret location "outside the Soviet
Union and today, outside Russia" in a satellite state. Unfortunately,
open-source reports have not been released to reveal what country
this was in. There are also unconfirmed reports of aerosol sprays
and biological weapons missing from Soviet stockpiles. Robert Baer,
author of "See No Evil", formerly the highest ranking CIA
officer serving in Iraq and one of the most senior operatives, has
recorded a tape with Newsmax.com called "Off the Record With
Robert Baer". In it, Baer recalls his involvement in a CIA investigation
into Russian stockpiles where they learned of quantities of missing
anthrax and smallpox. Smallpox cannot be ruled out, as it
is known Russia continued producing the weapon into the mid-1990s,
and that it is probable that North Korea and Iraq and perhaps Iran
have the weapon. Colonel Ed Badolato of Counter-Terrorism Magazine,
one of the leading American authorities on international terrorism
and terrorism involving weapons of mass destruction, told UPI in October
2001 that there were between 300 and 600 laboratories worldwide for
research and development of smallpox, many of which were in rogue
states that harbor or are sympathetic to Al-Qaeda and other terrorists.
[51]
Dr. Janford Kuvin, expert on disease and chairman
of the Center for Infectious Diseases and Tropical Science at Hebrew
University has said he has little doubt that sources in Russia have
not given samples of smallpox and other biological weapons to state
sponsors of international terrorism and/or the terrorist organizations
themselves.
[52]
Perhaps Christopher Shays said it best
when after confirming that at least 48 "suitcase" nukes
were missing from Russia, he proclaimed: "We know that Bin Laden
made strenuous efforts to buy these weapons. We know that security
at some Russian nuclear arsenals were terrible. We know that some
Russian officials were corrupt. We are told of attempted thefts and
of plots that were foiled, but we are never told of the plots that
succeeded."
[53]
Terrorist
Use of Chemical and Biological Weapons There has been no shortage in the attempts
to use these weapons. It is known in the public venues that Hamas
tried to use chemical weapons to poison the food of a Jerusalem restaurant
in fall of 2002. There have been traces of an unidentified toxic substance
after the attack on a Jerusalem mall which killed 11 people on the
first of December, 2001. During Israeli sweeps of suspected terrorist
industrial facilities, chemical fertilizers for chemical bombs were
found in both the Gaza Strip and West Bank. The Hamas operative whom
masterminded the bombing of the Netanya Park Hotel that killed nearly
thirty people has admitted to also masterminding a cyanide strike
on Israeli targets.
[54]
In November of 2002, Israel captured a militant
with possession of small amounts of cyanide. Hamas has not stopped
such attempts, even threatening to use chemical weapons on Israeli
targets once they were capable of such operations.
[55]
Hamas has recently called for suicide armies to
defend Iraq and has called for attacking American interests in the
region once war breaks out. Analysts should remain cautious about
the continuing threat from the Hamas terrorists. One can also not talk about such terrorism
without discussing the Aum Shinrikyo (Supreme Truth) Cult. Recent
findings may indicate they could have gone further in their assaults
in Japan before they were foiled. Iraqi defectors in the past have
claimed that Aum members have worked in Iraqi facilities for chemical
weapons and could be planning terrorism. Their first use of chemical
agents occurred in June, 1994, in Matsumoto, Japan, where they managed
to kill 7 people and injure 500. Their second chemical attack occurred
on March 20, 1995, in a coordinated sarin gas attack on a Tokyo subway
killing a dozen people and injuring over 5,500 people. Aum Shinrikyo
also tried to mine their own uranium in Australia, and tried to buy
Russian nuclear warheads. They are believed to have failed. Aum leader, Shoko Asahara ordered his
followers to begin production of sarin gas in 1993, and their production
center became operational in March of 1994. There is also evidence
of tests of pesticides and sarin on sheep in Australia. Among Aum's
plans was the annihilation of a Japanese city using spraying mechanisms
from helicopters and possibly remote-controlled aircraft. Aum was
successful in obtaining a Russian helicopter and two drone airplanes
that could have been upgraded to conduct such an attack. It is also
known that one of the highest-ranking followers of Aum had a helicopter
pilot's license from training in the United States. Like most terrorist
organizations, Aum Shinrikyo greatly benefited from the fall of the
Soviet Union. The cult managed to recruit some 30,000 people in Russia
and 10,000 in Japan, as well as run radio shows that could be listened
to in Japan from Russian territory. Finally, the cult also managed
to buy a Russian GSP-11 toxic detector that could be used in a nerve
gas facility.
[56]
Such incidents are not limited to Aum
Shinrikyo. In January 1995, Tajik opposition members killed six Russian
soldiers by lacing champagne with cyanide. In February of 1996, German
police arrested a Neo-Nazi group with a coded diskette containing
information on the production of mustard gas. The PKK terrorists have
also been reported to have poisoned water supplies in southeastern
Turkey with cyanide.
[57]
In the Middle East, Lebanon appears to be one of
the areas of most concern. There have been reported Al-Qaeda attempts
to obtain chemical weapons there. The Syrian forces occupying the
tiny country are highly anti-Semitic, and Syria is known to have large
stockpiles of sarin.
[58]
South Africa is a potential market
for arms dealers as well. It has high-level corruption, and is known
to have a large radical Muslim presence. South African experts in
the past are known to have assisted criminal organizations and rogue
states. Adriana Stujit, a popular Dutch journalist, has written that
radical Muslims have gotten control over South Africa's biological
weapons stockpiles. South Africa also is a state of concern do to
their ties to Iraq, Cuba, Iran, and Libya. There have been much publicized
reports of quantities of anthrax, Ebola, Congo Fever, and other agents
going missing from South Africa with the only explanation being theft.
Indeed, this is the conclusion that Stujit reaches concerning the
issue. To this date, there has been no explanation or accurate documentation
of the amounts, locations, and contents of the stockpiles.
[59]
In this same country, there was also a reported
theft of about 130 barrels of enriched uranium waste from a storage
facility which has yet to be recovered.
[60]
In assessing the biological and chemical
terrorism threats, the potential for theft from the former Soviet
Union cannot be ruled out. Russia has nearly two million artillery
shells and missile warheads filled with chemical weapons. Russia is
estimated to have at least 5,400 tons of nerve gas and over 10,000
total tons of chemical weapons. Often, the chemical weapons slated
for disarmament are not being disarmed, are put in hidden facilities
or facilities with minimal security, or are simply unaccounted for.
This is particularly dangerous considering that many of these weapons
are portable and ready for use, many are easy to hide and steal, and
many are launchable from a wide variety of rockets and artillery pieces.
The Kazakh facilities are especially
vulnerable, and is in an impoverished region near a major Muslim and
criminal presence. In Kazakhstan and some other former Soviet republics,
particularly ones that are dominantly Islamic, there is no reliable
inventory. Chemical weapons experts in the past have been appalled
at inaccurate documentation, missing supplies, poor security and handling,
lies or inaccurate testimonies about the sizes and contents of stockpiles,
the lack of detailed documentation of the disarmament procedures and
records, and often, the lack of access to American inspectors to certain
factories. Kazakhstan will soon turn into the "treasure chest"
for arms dealers. In fact, it may have already become such a shopping
market. Some say that Bin Laden's associates managed to receive anthrax
and plague biological weapons from former Soviet facilities in Kazakhstan.
[61]
It is well-known that much of the Soviet biological
infrastructure is insecure, and many critical weapons were in Kazakhstan.
Berkley physicist Richard Mueller said in Technology Review that no
one knows how much enriched uranium was missing from any of the former
Soviet republics, but that at least 205 kilograms of enriched uranium
is known to be missing from Kazakhstan alone.
[62]
In another account, a journalist in
Russia explains that U.N. sources say that the Taliban still has widespread
support in Afghanistan and the ability to obtain or use weapons of
mass destruction. The Taliban and Al-Qaeda forces he says, have up
to 100 missiles and four missile launchers which can carry conventional,
chemical, or nuclear warheads. The Taliban also has reserves of artillery
and chemical ammunition including neuro-paralytic gases.
[63]
One of the Afghan detainess from the fall of 2001
said during his interrogation that he witnessed men being trained
in the northeast in terrorist camps under the Taliban and Al-Qaeda
from Chechnya, Sudan, Libya, Iraq, Iran, even from Cuba and North
Korea. The Korean, he said, brought chemical weapons.
[64]
Over in Europe, German news television
channels report that Al-Qaeda agents in 2001 had visited the Czech
Republic in an attempt to purchase nuclear and biological materials
with the help of the former Soviet (Russian) Mafia. Member of the
crime ring were arrested but were unsure of how far the terrorists
had gotten in their dealings. Europe is also an area of concern as
US officials have pointed out that many European countries lack the
appropriate equipment to track potential smuggling of nuclear materials
or weapons.
[65]
German authorities in 1993 cited 234 nuclear-related
smuggling incidents. European intelligence also detected approximately
700 incidents of attempted sale of nuclear-related materials or components
between 1991 and 1996 to Iran, Iraq, Libya, and North Korea. In one incident in later part of the
1990s, 5.6 kilograms of 99.7% enriched plutonium-239 was seized the
garage of a man producing counterfeit money in Germany. In Vilnius,
in a bank vault, a large quantity of beryllium was seized. German
intelligence has also reported a rapid increase in the late 1990s
in the theft of weapons-grade components from hospitals. It is a staggering
threat when considering that by 1993, Germany had arrested about one
hundred people for theft of nuclear materials from the former Soviet
Union. One can imagine how drastic the cases are today. In 1997, undercover
American agents in Miami arrested two Lithuanians offering to sell
Russian tactical nukes. Louis Freeh, FBI director, also said there
was intelligence that Russian organized crime units were aggressively
trying to obtain nuclear weapons and materials so they could be resold
on the black market.
[66]
The point of bringing back up these cases of nuclear
smuggling is that if criminals can obtain and sell fissionable material
and nuclear weapons components, then the market for substances that
can be used as chemical and biological agents is several times more
profitable and deadly. Drug corruption and poor payrolls are
major problems for security. Russian law enforcement has issued warnings
about the guards at weapons facilities being drug addicts. One incident
that surprised many took place in the western parts of Ukraine. At
the high-level base where the Red Army's Fifth Missile Regiment once
was, the guards guarding the most sensitive doorways and entries were
drug addicts. If these important bases have such dire vulnerabilities,
the prospect of the situations of the hundreds of other Asian facilities
can only be much more worrisome.
[67]
The Ukraine has been a past target of smuggling
of dangerous materials. The Ukraine is even believed to be the source
of Bin Laden's production of chemical and biological weapons. After Al-Qaeda built their two most
critical biochemical weapons laboratories (one in Kandahar, Afghanistan
and one in Zenica, Bosnia), a network was set up in the former Yugoslavia
for procurements. A total of three laboratories including those two
were bought in Yugoslavia. To produce the weapons, Osama Bin Laden's
representatives purchased pesticides in the Ukraine, along with radioactive
materials. To use the pesticides, Al-Qaeda recruited Ukrainian chemists
and biologists to weaponize the poisons and to train selected terrorist
units.
[68]
Potential
Terrorist Possession of Nuclear Weapons For the public, the first real scare
of nuclear terrorism came in October 2001. For a short time, a report
was "leaked" to the press that was supposedly only given
to a small number of government agencies, the highest officials, and
caused the activation of the Nuclear Emergency Search Team in Nevada.
The report claimed that terrorists had plans to, or already had, obtained
a 10-kiloton Russian nuclear bomb for use in New York City. The report
was quickly shelved as US officials called it "unreliable"
and a false alarm. It is not clear if this was a move to pacify an
on-edge population, or a genuine rejection. Without evidence for either,
no conclusions can be made on the report.
[69]
This threat of nuclear terrorism should be taken
seriously. One of the top experts on Islamic radicalism, Dr. Robert
Morey, whom predicted a massive attack on our soil by Bin Laden just
a week before 9-11, is a consultant to Israel, the FBI, Naval intelligence,
and writer of over forty books including "Winning the War Against
Radical Islam". He has predicted that one day during this War
on Terrorism that terrorists will destroy an American city with a
nuclear weapon. |